Election polls live updates: Trump takes lead over Harris in key voter group that could

Donald Trump is pulling away from Kamala Harris with a demographic that is key to major swing-state Michigan.

A new Arab News/YouGov survey found 45 percent of Arab Americans polled said they are most likely to vote for the Republican former president Trump, while 43 percent would likely vote for the Democratic sitting vice president Harris.

Another 4 percent said they would vote for Green Party candidate Jill Stein and 2 percent would not reveal their choice.

The poll surveyed 500 Arab Americans nationwide in late September. Trump’s advantage, however, is within the margin of error for the poll of plus or minus 5.93 percent.

The pollsters said their findings also suggest a massive Arab-American turnout of eligible Arab-American voters for the Nov. 5 presidential election, projecting 87 percent will vote.

Heightening the impact of the Israel-Gaza war and the Biden-Harris administration’s handling of it on this year’s race, the survey found 43 percent of those polled said they voted for Joe Biden in 2020, compared to just 34 pecent for Trump.

But that support has fallen by the waysides with Biden’s support for Israel’s offensives in Gaza and Lebanon in the wake of the Oct. 7 Hamas incursion, where terrorists killed 1,200 men, women and children and 254 people were taken hostage into Gaza.

The results track with a poll earlier this month by the Arab American Institute, which had Trump over Harris, 42 percent to 41 percent.

Hawaii, Utah, Missouri and Wisconsin have kicked off early in-person voting ahead of Election Day.

Wisconsin is one of the seven battleground states that could ultimately decide who wins the race.

It is part of the ‘Blue Wall’ which is a critical part of a path for Kamala Harris to take victory.

The state is one of three in the Rust Belt that voted for Donald Trump in 2016.

In 2020, President Joe Biden won the state by 20,682 votes – a gap over Trump of just 0.7 percent.

Arnon Mishkin, the head of Fox News’ decision desk, has made some big calls in past elections.

He says this one is so close it may take four days before the election is officially decided for Kamala Harris or Donald Trump.

The election is on Tuesday, November 5 and he said the decision may not be reached until the Saturday after the election.

He told Politico ‘the over/under is Saturday’ and added:

The race seems very, very close. I think we have to accept the reality that we don’t really know how close this election is going to be. I’m pretty sure it’s going to be close.

I think the real issue is what happens to Trump. I’ve always thought this about this election: It’s less about who’s running against him than it’s about Trump.

After three-and-a-half years of record breaking illegal immigration over the southern border, yet another migrant caravan is heading towards the U.S.

With just 15 days left until the presidential elections, the large group of asylum seekers are taking a shot to see if they can get into the country ahead of a potentially major shift in border policies.

It is just the latest example of the widespread influence that the 2024 American elections will have on the world.

Approximately 2,000 migrants departed Mexico’s southern border to head to the U.S. with worries over what will happen after November’s election, according to the Associated Press.

McDonald’s has finally revealed why it does not have records to verify Vice President Kamala Harris’ claim that she worked at one of its restaurants in the 1980s.

In a memo emailed to McDonald’s USA franchisees the corporation confirmed that while Harris had ‘fond memories’ of working at a location in Alameda County, ‘we and our franchisees don’t have records for all positions dating back to the early ’80s.’

A copy of the internal letter was posted by an anonymous McDonald’s franchise on social media and confirmed by the Wall Street Journal.

During a rally with fast food workers in 2019, Harris said she used to work at McDonald’s in college.

In April 2024, during an interview with the Drew Barrymore show, Harris repeated her claim that she ‘did fries’ at the restaurant.

Trump confidant and former chief strategist Steve Bannon says Kamala Harris’ run for president is doomed by her record in office and failure to act on Donald Trump’s criminal justice reform.

That means she is losing support from some of the key voter groups that will decide the election, he said.

He sent his statement from federal prison in Danbury, Connecticut, where he is in the final days of a four-month sentence for contempt of Congress.

And he said he should have been released by now under Trump legislation that reduced sentences for non-violent offenders.

‘The “Queen of Mass Incarceration,” Kamala Harris, will lose her bid for the presidency on 5 November because of black and Hispanic men rejecting her candidacy and refusing to vote for her due to her failure to implement President Trump’s First Step Act,’ he said in a statement first obtained by the National Pulse.

‘Tens of thousands of Black and Hispanic men should now be back with their families or on a detailed path of when they leave prison.’

Donald Trump said he has finally won the respect of one of the biggest stars in Hollywood and wrestling – leaving the door open for a surprise last-minute endorsement.

Trump appeared on the podcast for WWE legend The Undertaker Monday when he discussed his uncertain relationship with Dwayne ‘The Rock’ Johnson – and how things suddenly changed.

‘I never thought he liked me, and I felt badly, because I think he’s a terrific guy,’ Trump admitted.

Trump then explained that he received a surprise call from UFC promoter Dana White. White told him The Rock was impressed by his defiant reaction after an assassination attempt in Pennsylvania, and wanted to talk.

The accolades come amid neck-and-neck polling in the race against Vice President Kamala Harris and an endorsement from the WWE star would rival Harris’ coveted support from pop superstar Taylor Swift.

A town hall event with Vice President Kamala Harris on Monday featured a shocking revelation after one voter simply wondered whether she could ask a question.

Former California First Lady Maria Shriver admitted while hosting the event with former Rep. Liz Cheney in Royal Oak, Michigan that she would only include ‘predetermined questions.’

‘Are we going to be able to ask a question?’ asked a woman in the audience.

‘You’re not, unfortunately we have some predetermined questions,’ Shriver replied. ‘And hopefully I’ll be able to ask some of the questions that might be in your head, I hope so.’

Typically, presidential campaigns allow voters at townhall meetings to ask unscripted questions, which lends a level of authenticity to the proceedings and highlights a presidential candidate’s personal touch.

A slew of polls showing Donald Trump gaining ground or extending his lead over Kamala Harris has had a dramatic impact on his overall chances of winning November’s presidential election.

The former president has shot out to his biggest lead yet in our DailyMail.com/J.L. Partners election model.

It shows that he now wins in 65.9 percent of simulations when the algorithm runs through all possible combinations of data.

That is a big jump from Friday when the model was last run. Then he won in 61.4 percent of simulations.

With just two weeks to go until Election Day, it suggests time is running out for the vice president.